Twelfth Annual Workshop on Weather Prediction in the Intermountain West
Thursday, November 3, 2005
Desert Research Institute, Stout Conference Room A/B
Northern Nevada Science Center, 2215 Raggio Parkway,
Reno, Nevada
Workshop web site: http://conferences.dri.edu/WxPrediction/WxPrediction12.html
| 8:00 am | Registration (light refreshments at back of conf room) |
| 8:30 am | Overview of the Workshop (Mark Green) |
| 8:40 am | Session I: Air Quality Forecasting (David Dubois) |
| 8:45 am | Paper I.1 A Western Fire Spread Meteorology Paradigm: How Multi-Scale Atmospheric Adjustments Organize Extremely Dry Santa Ana Winds in Southern California, Michael Kaplan (DRI) |
| 9:00 am | Paper I.2 Relationships between upper level winds and surface ozone levels in southern Nevada, Mark Green (DRI / NOAA CIASTA), David DuBois |
| 9:15 am | Paper I.3 Expanding Coverage of the NOAA-EPA Air Quality Forecast Capability, Paula Davidson (NOAA/NWS) , Kenneth Carey (Mitretek), Nelson Seaman (NOAA/NWS), Jeffery McQueen, Rohit Mathur (NOAA/OAR) |
| 9:30 am | Paper I.4 Long Range Chemical Transport over North America at Mid-Tropospheric Levels. John Lewis (DRI), William Stockwell (Howard Univ.), Darko Koracin (DRI), Julide Kahyaoglu-Koracin, Andrew Goodrich (Washoe County District Health Dept), D. Sikorski (Univ. Wisc/SSEC), Robert Rabin |
| 9:45 am | Paper I.5 CANSAC Operational Meteorological and Air Quality Forecasts, Julide Kahyaoglu-Koracin (DRI), Tim Brown |
| 10:00 am | Refreshment Break |
| 10:25 am | Session II: Great Basin Forecasting, Observation and Verification (Melanie Wetzel) |
| 10:30 am | Paper II.1 Sierra Nevada and Great Basin Climate Monitoring Activities, Kelly Redmond ( DRI Western Regional Climate Center), Greg McCurdy |
| 10:45 am | Paper II.2 Using Instability to Forecast Lee Side Precipitation along the Northern and Central Sierra Nevada, James Wallman (NOAA/NWS-Reno), R. Milne |
| 11:00 am | Paper II.3 NOAA National Weather Service Experimental Winter Weather Impact Graphics , Peter Manousos, NOAA/NWS - Salt Lake City) |
| 11:15 am | Paper II.4 NDFD Forecast Verification in the West, John Horel (Univ. Utah / NOAA CIRP) |
| 11:30 am | Paper II.5 A Kalman Filter Approach to Correct Surface Forecast Bias,William Cheng (Univ. Utah / NOAA CIRP). W. James Steenburgh |
| 11:45 am | Paper II.6 A Verification Database for National Fire Danger Rating System Forecasts, Chris Gibson (NOAA/NWS - Salt Lake City), Randy Weatherly |
| 12:00 pm | Wrap-Up Discussion |
| 12:10 pm | Lunch (sandwich buffet in conference room) |
| 1:10 pm | Session III: Transportation Weather (Arlen Huggins) |
| 1:15 pm | Paper III.1 Utah’s Highway Weather/RWIS Operations Program: A Merging of Technology and the Human Intellect , Ralph Patterson ( Utah DOT) |
| 1:30 pm | Paper III.2 FHWA Road Weather Management Program Initiatives, Andrew Stern (Mitretek) |
| 1:45 pm | Paper III.3 Enhancing Flash Flood Forecasting and Awareness, Brian Brong (NOAA / NWS - Reno) |
| 2:00 pm | Paper III.4 Real Time Forecasting of Precipitation Spillover in the Lee of the Sierra , Rhett Milne (NOAA / NWS - Reno), James Wallman |
| 2:15 pm | Paper III.5 The Terrain-induced Rotor Experiment (T-REX), Vanda Grubisic (DRI), Joachim Kuettner (NCAR) |
| 2:30 pm | Posters (1-minute overview by each author, then informal viewing session with refreshments) |
Poster P.1 Does increasing the resolution of numerical forecasts improve forecast accuracy over fine-scale Intermountain orography? Kenneth Hart (U. Utah), W. James Steenburgh, Daryl Onton Poster P.2 Establishing a VPR-based Radar Algorithm output product into the National Weather Service Interactive Forecast Preparation System, Serena Chew (DRI), Melanie Wetzel, Arlen Huggins, Jim Fischer (NWS), Brian Brong, David Pike Poster P.3 Sierra Rotors: Comparison of model simulations and wind profiler observations of terrain-induced waves and rotors, Vanda Grubisic (DRI), Brian Billings, Steve Cohn (NCAR), William Brown Poster P.4 Intermountain cold pool structure, transport, and mixing as revealed by isotopic trace gas and particulate matter concentrations over the Salt Lake Valley, W. James Steenburgh (Univ. Utah), Diane Pataki, Erik Pardyjak, Jai Kiran, Bonnie Tyler, Richard Peterson, Amit Nair Poster P.5 Energetics of Mixed Phase Cloud Particle Interactions, German Vidaurre (DRI), John Hallett Poster P.6 Understanding the effects of complex terrain on Intermountain Cyclogenesis , Gregory West (Univ. Utah), Jason Shafer, W. James Steenburgh. Poster P.7 Maintenance of a Mountain Valley Cold Pool: A Numerical Study, Brian Billings (DRI), Vanda Grubisic, Randolph Borys Poster P.8 Implementation of WINDSAT data from NPOESS into 3DVAR for CANSAC Real-Time MM5 Forecasting , Tesfamichael Ghidey (DRI), Julide Koracin, M. Mcatee (AFWA), Tim Brown (DRI) Poster P.9 Spurious Grid-Scale Convection in the North American Regional Reanalysis, Gregory West (Univ. Utah / NOAA CIRP), W. James Steenburgh Poster P.10 Evaluation of a Fog Forecast Technique based on Afternoon Relative Humidity, David Groenert (NOAA / NWS - Boise) Poster P.11 Improving mesoscale forecasting using data from the Nevada Department of Transportation operational network, Darko Koračin, Domagoj Podnar, Travis McCord, G. McCurdy (DRI), Richard Nelson, (NDOT), Jim Fischer (NOAA/NWS-Reno) |
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| 3:10 pm | Session IV: Mountain-Valley Air Circulations (Mike Kaplan) |
| 3:15 pm | Paper IV.1 Sierra Rotors: A Comparative Study of Two Rotor Events, Brian Billings (DRI), Vanda Grubisic |
| 3:30 pm | Paper IV.2 The sensitivity of thermally driven mountain flows to land cover change, Justin Cox (Univ. Utah), W.J. Steenburgh |
| 3:45 pm | Paper IV.3 METCRAX - The Meteor Crater Experiment: An Upcoming Study of Cold Air Pools and Seiches in Arizona's Meteor Crater , Maura Hahnenberger, (Univ. Utah), C. David Whiteman, Andreas Muschinski ( Univ. Mass. - Amherst), Sharon Zhong (Univ. Houston), David Fritts (Northwest Research Associates) |
| 4:00 pm | Paper IV.4 Communication between NWSFO and FAA Mitigates Effects of Microbursts at Salt Lake City International Airport, Mark Struthwolf (NOAA / NWS- Salt Lake City) |
| 4:15 pm | Paper IV.5 Climatology of Strong Cold Fronts over the Western U.S., Jason Shafer (Univ. Utah) and W.J. Steenburgh |
| 4:30 pm | Group Discussion: Building Partnerships for Improved Forecasting |
| 5:00 pm | Adjourn |